Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 4.645326 5.131955 5.650895 6.246039 6.910415 7.630047 8.469622
2026-01-04 3.912651 4.577765 5.332501 6.254631 7.354002 8.626510 10.216546
2026-01-11 3.327934 4.093992 5.012057 6.198639 7.699314 9.544089 11.999034
2026-01-18 2.845174 3.660657 4.687065 6.083094 7.946655 10.368525 13.786730
2026-01-25 2.456924 3.291597 4.389851 5.954846 8.150562 11.155457 15.637407
2026-02-01 2.145259 2.981502 4.127243 5.831291 8.334807 11.930226 17.579468
2026-02-08 1.891120 2.717769 3.893085 5.711476 8.499756 12.689014 19.602905
2026-02-15 1.698101 2.517377 3.723067 5.658758 8.749210 13.596031 21.981126
2026-02-22 1.574746 2.404920 3.667748 5.768933 9.257921 14.964493 25.307031
2026-03-01 1.434898 2.250799 3.529580 5.727573 9.510734 15.942404 28.113258
2026-03-08 1.288216 2.069912 3.328539 5.556528 9.518855 16.498163 30.242368
2026-03-15 1.184085 1.947402 3.208986 5.507258 9.727799 17.426314 33.198809
2026-03-22 1.120225 1.887772 3.191600 5.639812 10.291132 19.097385 37.922407
2026-03-29 1.058017 1.824643 3.161346 5.745077 10.817105 20.772509 42.954474
2026-04-05 0.989022 1.742623 3.088899 5.762548 11.174858 22.166265 47.641260
2026-04-12 0.916737 1.647649 2.983143 5.703197 11.370266 23.254310 51.847335
2026-04-19 0.848513 1.553804 2.870172 5.616196 11.496334 24.211624 55.925969
2026-04-26 0.786482 1.466018 2.760255 5.522594 11.595413 25.122218 60.060763
2026-05-03 0.730136 1.384202 2.654226 5.424957 11.672420 25.992450 64.258510
2026-05-10 0.685308 1.321134 2.579611 5.385693 11.874962 27.182945 69.517166
2026-05-17 0.659401 1.293708 2.574722 5.497605 12.440752 29.328705 77.782534
2026-05-24 0.621784 1.239023 2.508048 5.463595 12.654813 30.634133 83.963881
2026-05-31 0.576319 1.164260 2.392258 5.304674 12.543617 31.092059 87.776242